9. 伊拉克和沙特阿拉伯 (Iraq and Saudi Arabia) (并列)
The final chapter has not been written in Iraq. Saddam may not have posed the threat Bush ascribed to him, but the fragmentation of this country (particularly in Kurdistan) could be massively destabilizing in the region and create real problems with Turkey, Iran, and Russia. The Saudis support terror, their succession picture is murky, they are likely to be one of the first to respond to Iranian nukes with a program of their own, and they pull key levers in OPEC. Hard not to include them, too.
伊拉克战争让这个国家陷入分裂的深渊,影响了整个地区的稳定,给土耳其、伊朗、俄罗斯带来大麻烦。沙特阿拉伯支援恐怖势力,本身继承问题尚存变数,他们很可能是对伊朗核计划威胁做出最快反应并开始自己的核计划的国家之一。此外,他们还掌握着石油输出国家组织的权力杠杆。