I was gonna save it for a little bit later in the class but I can certainly talk about it now
我想把这个内容留到以后的课程说,但我现在可以大概讲讲
Some scholars have said that is actually more important than religion and determining who votes where
有些学者说人口密度甚至比宗教因素更重要更具决定性
So we can see a population density map here
我们来看一幅人口密度地图
We can see the national pattern here
我们能看的全国的人口密度分布
There are some exceptions . There are sparsely populated highly hispanic counties
有一些比较例外的情况,一些人口稀疏的地区是西葡裔聚居地
In northern New Mexico voted heavily for the democrats
在新墨西哥北部有很多民主党支持者
There are some sparsely populated black counties here some sparsely populated American-Indian counties
多为人口稀疏的黑人聚居的县及人口稀疏的印第安人聚居县
But other than that yeah, it's face pretty closely
除此之外其他地区密度都较为均匀
and I even have some states comparisons to show you
给你们看一些州的具体对比情况
It's imperfect but here's Ohio
地图不太清晰,上面的是俄亥俄州
and you can see these densely populated areas
你看到这些人口尤为稠密的地区
check a map, yeah, here's Columbus
看看地图,这是哥伦布市(中部红块)
here's Dayton Cincinnati an exception
还有达顿市(左二红块)以及辛辛那提(最左) 但情况例外
Cincinnati is one of the largest metro areas where the county tends to vote republican
辛辛那提在共和党的支持者中是规模最大的都市区域之一
We'll see what happened this time
不知道这次大选它会倾向哪方
Washington somewhat good correlation with great Seattle area
在华盛顿州,人口密集的西雅图极具决定性
Spokane doesn't show up
图中没有显示斯波坎城
So it works much better in New York, works very well in New York, doesn't work as well in Arkansas
人口密度的不同在纽约州表现的很明显,高密度都市区非常明显,但在阿肯色则较为均匀
and Arkansas partly because of race plays a important factor
影响阿肯色选情的一个重要因素是种族
A lot of rural African-American tending to vote republican and live in some of the sparse counties
很多农村地区的非洲裔居民倾向共和党,他们多居住在人口稀少的县里
Later on I'm going to counties I really like. I really like exceptions
以后会给你们讲一些我感兴趣的县。我喜欢与众不同的
some of these counties up here are poor, rural mostly white, heavily southern baptist
这些县多为乡村,贫困居民多为白人,虔诚的浸礼教徒
and continue to vote democratic presidential candidates
他们始终如一地支持民主党候选人
There's some little clusters, Tennessee has these little clusters
全国有不少这样的聚居地,例如田纳西就有一些
I found that very interesting counties that I can't explain
我对这些县很感兴趣,他们的情况没法用几句话来解释
but you're absolutely right! yes, population density a really crucial factor
但这位同学说的很对!人口密度是大选中的很关键的因素
and there's a bunch of hands try to go I'll go in order of people have raised their hands yes oh! George Wallace
有很多人举手继续让你们提问,请问!乔治华里士
I've forgotten that third party candidates 1968, Richard Nixon running against Hubert Humphrey
我忘记讲他了,1968年作为第三方候选人参选,加入尼克松和汉弗莱的总统角逐