Well, first of all, what's going to happen next? The first industry will be a high volume, a lot of players.
那么,首先,接下来会发生什么?第一产业将会数量巨大,参与者众多。
There's another one announced just last week. And it will be sub-orbital.
上周有另一个公司宣布它们可以。这次飞行将会是亚轨道。
And the reason it has to be sub-orbital is, there is not solutions for adequate safety to fly the public to orbit.
亚轨道的原因是,没有保证充分安全的方法可以带领大众飞至轨道。
The governments have been doing this -- three governments have been doing this for 45 years, and still four percent of the people that have left the atmosphere have died.
一些国家的政府正在这样做-- 有三个政府已经这么做了45年,仍然有百分之四十的人命丧太空。
That's -- You don't want to run a business with that kind of a safety record. It'll be very high volume; we think 100,000 people will fly by 2020.
那是--你不想经营一项有这种安全记录的事业。它的量会变得很大;我们认为到2020年将会有100000人进行太空飞行。
I can't tell you when this will start, because I don't want my competition to know my schedule.
我不能告诉你太空旅行何时开始,因为我不想我的竞争者知道我的计划。
But I think once it does, we will find solutions, and very quickly, you'll see those resort hotels in orbit.
但我认为一旦开始,我们将会找到解决方案。并且很快,你将在轨道上看到旅游旅店。
And that real easy thing to do, which is a swing around the moon so you have this cool view.
去月球上绕一圈是非常容易做到的事情,因为你能看到非常酷的景象。
And that will be really cool. Because the moon doesn't have an atmosphere -- you can do an elliptical orbit and miss it by 10 feet if you want. Oh, it's going to be so much fun.
那确实会很酷。因为月球没有大气层环绕-- 如果你愿意,你可以绕误差在10英尺的椭圆形轨道飞行。噢,那会非常有趣。
OK. My critics say, "Hey, Rutan's just spending a lot of these billionaires' money for joyrides for billionaires.
好。批评我的人说,“嘿,鲁坦,只是花着这些亿万富翁的钱,为其创造游览飞行。
What's this? This is not a transportation system; it's just for fun."
这是什么?这不是运输系统,它只是用于消遣。”
And I used to be bothered by that, and then I got to thinking, well, wait a minute.
我过去常常因此而困扰,后来我开始思考。那么,等一下。
I bought my first Apple computer in 1978 and I bought it because I could say,
我带来了我的第一台1978年的苹果电脑,我把它带来因为我可以说,
"I got a computer at my house and you don't. 'What do you use it for?' Come over. It does Frogger." OK.
“我在家里有一台电脑,而你没有。‘用它做什么?’过来。它能玩青蛙过街。”好吧。