53. "The citizens of Forsythe have adopted more healthful lifestyles. Their responses to a recent survey show that in their eating habits they conform more closely to government nutritional recommendations than they did ten years ago. Furthermore, there has been a fourfold increase in sales of food products containing kiran, a substance that a scientific study has shown reduces cholesterol. This trend is also evident in reduced sales of sulia, a food that few of the most healthy citizens regularly eat."

　　Forsythe的居选择了更健康的生活方式。他们对于最近一项调查的回答显示，他们的饮食习惯比十年前更加贴近政府的营养建议。而且，含有kiran的食品销量增长了四倍，在一次科学研究中发现kiran是一种能够降低胆固醇水平的物质。这种趋势同样也被sulia的销量下降所证实，sulia是那些最健康的居极少经常食用的。

　　Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.食品

　　点评：中频题，难度不大。解析从略。

　　60/145/146/150/154/155

　　60. The following appeared in a letter from a firm providing investment advice to a client.

　　"Homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last year that region experienced twenty days with below-average temperatures, and local weather forecasters throughout the region predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes have been built in this region during the past year. Because of these developments, we predict an increased demand for heating oil and recommend investment in Consolidated Industries, one of whose major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil."

　　Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.

　　翻译：在冬季非常寒冷的美国东北部的房屋，一直都使用传统的油料作为采暖的主要燃料。去年该地区经历了90天低于往年平均气温的严寒，并且气象预测家们预测这种天气会持续未来数年。而且，去年本地建造了很多的房屋。按此趋势，我们预测对于油料的需求将会增加. 所以我们建议对CI公司投资，该公司的主要业务之一就是家用采暖油料的零售。

　　点评：这是Argu中最高频的题目，没准备过绝对要打屁股！

　　1. 90多天的冬季看似很久，可以以前的天气情况没有提，要是一般的冬季都比这个时间长的话，那么这个冬天就是暖冬了，自然油料的使用量可能就不会提高，相反还会下降，而且泛泛的指出是在零下，没有说零下多少度，要是很冷的温度只持续了一小段时间，而大多数的时间都是比零度低一点点的话，那么温度总体上还是提高的，油料也是没有用处的。

　　2. 很多的住宅新建起来，不见得很多人都会立刻搬进去居住，可能是房子的质量不好，也可能是人们的工资负担不起那里昂贵的房价，又或者交通不便利，环境不好等因素。

　　3. 这个公司是零售的，而那里的人们，小区什么的都是承包给大的集团公司，他们这样的小公司可能没有市场。

　　3. 作文总结

　　本次的作文组合较之前的考试有所不同，这次的issue就38题，但是argu有三种情况，即36，53，60。总体来说，issue偏难，argu都是高频题或者容易题。