Impact of 'Yes' or 'No' votes on Greece and Europe
希腊和欧洲关系未来何去何从
Let's try to sum up the possible aftershocks of a 'yes' or a 'no' vote in the Greek referendum on Sunday.... not just on Greece itself, but on the whole of Europe and possibly the global economy. With the latest survey putting 'Yes' supporters at 44% , and 'No' supporters at 43%... it's by no means a clear result.
A 'Yes' vote would probably mean the resignation of Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, and perhaps a change in government. That would bring new political turmoil to Greece... but it WOULD mean that talks over a new bailout could restart. Greece would stay in the Euro... but the country would have to accept levels of austerity that it rejected in electing the current government - pension cuts, tax hikes and other measures.
If Greece votes 'No' and rejects the offer by creditors, then many analysts say the country will face huge financial uncertainty.... and a likely exit from the Euro, and maybe even the European Union. That could have an impact not just on European markets... but the entire global economy. But not everyone shares that bleak view.
Prime Minister Tsipras says a 'No' vote will give Greece a stronger bargaining position... and he's sure that the fear of a Greek Euro exit would be enough to bring lenders back round the table once again.